Summary

Cities across the United States face the challenge of integrating climate change considerations into their planning. Climate data is complex and fragmented, and often presented in a format and scale that are not aligned with planners’ needs. To support the integration of climate change adaptation into relevant plans such as local hazard mitigation plans, Four Twenty Seven, a California-based climate risk consulting firm, worked with the Alameda County waste authority to develop:

  1. City-specific climate change hazard assessments that overlay regional climate hazard data with asset location data to determine which assets are exposed to sea level rise, flooding, fire, and landslides, and provided temperature and rainfall projections, and
  2. A set of adaptation measures for the participating cities based on the results of the climate hazard assessments and a review of existing city plans.
Background

Alameda County is located in the east San Francisco Bay, stretching from the shoreline of the Bay east across the Berkeley and Oakland hills. Due to its location, the county is exposed to a variety of climate hazards including sea level rise, inland flooding, higher temperatures, precipitation change, wildfires, and rainfall-induced landslides. While some cities in the County have robust plans for adaptation, others lack the targeted information to consider climate change hazards in an actionable way in their planning. 

The need to integrate adaptation into existing plans is highlighted by California Senate Bill No. 379 (Land use: general plan: safety element), a law that requires cities and counties to identify climate change risks as well as incorporate adaptation strategies into local hazard mitigation plans and safety elements of general land use plans. Some of the project’s participating cities have also joined the Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy and made specific climate change mitigation and adaptation commitments. 

Implementation

Hazard Assessment

Four Twenty Seven is developing city-specific climate hazard exposure assessments for seven participating cities in Alameda County examining inland flooding, sea level rise, rainfall-induced landslides, wildfires, and temperature and precipitation changes. Figure 2 shows the assets exposed to 36 inches of sea level rise in Fremont, California and Figure 3 shows the City’s fire hazard severity zones. 

The city-specific exposure assessments take into account each city’s geographic location, topography, and proximity to the shore and forested areas, and overlay regional climate and asset data from public sources as well as the cities themselves. Table 1 presents an example summary of hazard assessment results for Fremont, California. The table offers a brief description of the hazards and defines the level of exposure (low, medium, high) for each. 

Adaptation Actions

Based on the results of the climate hazard assessments, as well as a review of existing city plans and the SB 379 and Federal Emergency Management Agency’s guidelines, the team developed a set of adaptation measures to inform cities’ responses to these hazards. The actions identify recommended adaptation goals and actions, and provide information on potential implementation partners, possible funding sources, timeframe, ease of implementation, co-benefits, and equity considerations. Adaptation actions include fostering regional collaboration among agencies; promoting better planning and more effective use of resources; avoiding high-risk areas for flooding and landslides in land use zoning and regulations; and increasing urban forest cover to achieve multiple benefits. 

Outcomes and Conclusions

The project consisted of city-specific exposure assessments to inland flooding, sea level rise, changes in temperature and precipitation, flood-induced landslides and wildfires, including the probability of occurrence, extent of exposure, and assets affected by key climate hazards

The climate hazard assessments and adaptation options are intended to inform participating cities’ efforts to incorporate climate hazards and adaptation strategies into their planning efforts. The content can also assist cities in meeting requirements to position it for federal funding and to meet voluntary commitments.

Some good practices highlighted in the process include:

  • Build off existing success stories, best practices, strategies and materials
  • Leverage regional and publicly available data sources
  • Share adaptation strategies across cities with similar characteristics and/or shared concerns
  • Promote a consistent approach across a county or region through use of a shared framework  
  • Customize this common framework to the specific capacity, climate hazards and needs of the given county, city or region
  • Use planning as an opportunity to identify and develop partnerships
Citation

Kim, Y.H. (2017). Integrating Climate Risks into Local Planning in Alameda County, California [Case study on a project of Four Twenty Seven]. Ed. Rachel M. Gregg. Retrieved from CAKE: http://www.cakex.org/case-studies/integrating-climate-risks-local-planning-alameda-county (Last updated June 2017)

Project Contact(s)

Four Twenty Seven

We founded Four Twenty Seven as a mission-driven business to provide innovative tools and services to organizations seeking to understand climate impacts, assess risks to their operations or their stakeholders, and increase their resilience by developing and implementing climate adaptation measures. Our team is constituted of risk analysts, climate change and adaptation experts who bring years of experience working on climate mitigation and adaptation in the energy, industry, agricultural and food sector.

Keywords

Scale of Project
Regional / Subnational
Sector Addressed
Development (socioeconomic)
Disaster Risk Management
Land Use Planning
Policy
Target Climate Changes and Impacts
Erosion
Flooding
Landslides
Climate Type
Temperate
Timeframe
Ongoing
Type of Adaptation Action/Strategy
Capacity Building
Governance and Policy
Sociopolitical Setting
Urban
Rural
Suburban
Industrial
Effort Stage
In progress