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Climate Change and the Florida Keys

Created: 7/20/2010 - Updated: 8/19/2019


This research is part of the Socioeconomic Research and Monitoring Program for the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary (FKNMS), which was initiated in 1998.

The main report concerns the Florida Keys. It includes two appendices that identify key issues related to the future of the Keys over the 21st century. Four background papers deal with the global environment (Hoegh‐Guldberg 2010a,b,c,d). They are described first to put the Florida Keys into context.
The global environment: The threat of global climate change has grown over very few years from urgent to “red alert” according to the vast majority of climate scientists. Better climate models showing positive feedback have dramatized the evidence, but more importantly what were previously considered worst cases have moved closer to the center of the probability distribution. Global factors are therefore even more crucial than when this project was first planned in 2005.

Published On

Wednesday, July 21, 2010


Community / Local
Sector Addressed: 
Conservation / Restoration
Development (socioeconomic)
Disaster Risk Management
Land Use Planning
Tourism / Recreation
Water Resources
Target Climate Changes and Impacts: 
Culture / communities
Fishery harvest
Ocean acidification
Sea level rise
Species of concern
Storms or extreme weather events
Water supply
Type of Adaptation Action/Strategy: 
Natural Resource Management / Conservation
Reduce local climate or related change
Capacity Building
Increase / Improve public awareness, education, and outreach efforts
Conduct scenario planning exercise
Infrastructure, Planning, and Development
Community Planning (developing climate-smart communities)
Governance and Policy
Develop / implement adaptation plans
Maintain adequate financial resources for adaptation

Related Resources

Climate Change and the Florida Keys

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Case Study
Sector Addressed: 
Conservation / Restoration
Development (socioeconomic)
Tourism / Recreation

This project - Climate Change and The Florida Keys - was modeled after a similar one conducted in the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. It identifies community perceptions on how to address mitigation and adaptation, and analyzes the likely socioeconomic and biophysical impacts of climate change on the region.

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