Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts, W.J. Wouter Botzen, Hans de Moel, Malcolm Bowman
Abstract

In the aftermaths of Hurricanes Irene, in 2011, and Sandy, in 2012, New York City has come to recognize the critical need to better prepare for future storm surges and to anticipate future trends, such as climate change and socio-economic developments. The research presented in this report assesses the costs of six different flood management strategies to anticipate long-term challenges the City will face. The proposed strategies vary from increasing resilience by upgrading building codes and introducing small scale protection measures, to creating green infrastructure as buffer zones and large protective engineering works such as storm surge barriers. The initial investment costs of alternative strategies vary between $11.6 and $23.8 bn, maximally. We show that a hybrid solution, combining protection of critical infrastructure and resilience measures that can be upgraded over time, is less expensive. However, with increasing risk in the future, storm surge barriers may become cost-effective, as they can provide protection to the largest areas in both New York and New Jersey.

Published On

Keywords

Scale
Community / Local
Sector Addressed
Disaster Risk Management
Economics
Land Use Planning
Policy
Transportation / Infrastructure
Type of Adaptation Action/Strategy
Infrastructure, Planning, and Development
Infrastructure retrofitting and improvements
Make infrastructure resistant or resilient to climate change
Create or modify shoreline management measures
Governance and Policy
Maintain adequate financial resources for adaptation
Target Climate Changes and Impacts
Flooding
Public safety threats
Storms or extreme weather events
Sociopolitical Setting
Urban
Region
Northeast