Abstract

Planning with statistics of future climate based on projections, rather than just replicating recent history, requires wsefully summarizing incomplete information from new, fastmoving, and potentially irreducibly uncertain science as well as justifying analytic choices to diverse constituencies, many of whom may object to implications of some particular choices. The solution requires rethinking how we use uncertain climate information in our planning. Recent reports suggest there are limits to the usefulness of classic risk analysis for climate-related problems, seeking robust strategies may prove a preferable approach, and any analytic approach should be embedded in appropriate process of stakeholder engagement.

Published On
Organization(s)

Rand Corporation

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND focuses on the issues that matter most such as health, education, national security, international affairs, law and business, the environment, and more. With a research staff consisting of some of the world's preeminent minds, RAND has been expanding the boundaries of human knowledge for more than 60 years. As a nonpartisan organization, RAND is widely respected for operating independent of political and commercial pressures.

Keywords

Sector Addressed
Disaster Risk Management
Type of Adaptation Action/Strategy
Capacity Building
Host adaptation training or planning workshop