Scenario Planning for Climate Change Adaptation: A Guidance for Resource Managers
Posted by
Rachel GreggPublished
Abstract
Scenario planning is a tool that embraces uncertainty rather than trying to reduce or eliminate it. It can help resource managers generate creative approaches to climate change adaptation, thinking outside the historical or most obvious trends to incorporate uncertainty as a factor in prioritizing management actions. Scenario planning can help managers identify the most uncertain and most worrisome drivers of change, and enable them to plan around them by putting them into a context of more known (or knowable) drivers.
This document is intended to be a step-by-step guide to using scenarios to plan for climate change adaptation. The intended audience includes natural resource managers, planners, scientists and other stakeholders working at a local or regional scale to develop resource management approaches that take future possible climate change impacts and other important uncertainties into account.
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